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1 Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources, Rabies Research and Development Unit, Trent University, DNA Building, 2140 East Bank Dr., Peterborough, Ontario, K9J 7B8, Canada
2 Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources, PO Box 500, Bancroft, Ontario, K0L 1C0, Canada
3 Canadian Food Inspection Agency, Ottawa Laboratory Fallowfield, PO Box 11300, Station H, Nepean, Ontario, K2H 8P9, Canada
4 Corresponding author (email: rick.rosatte{at}mnr.gov.on.ca)
| ABSTRACT |
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| INTRODUCTION |
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| MATERIALS AND METHODS |
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Following the diagnosis of six cases of raccoon rabies in raccoons from Wolfe Island during December 1999 and January 2000 (Fig. 2
), a point infection control (PIC) program was implemented during April to June 2000 to remove incubating and clinically suspect raccoons to contain the disease. All live-captured raccoons and skunks were euthanized via an intracardiac injection of 12 ml T-61 euthanasia solution (Hoechst Canada, Inc., Regina, Saskatchewan, Canada) following immobilization with 12 ml intramuscular injection of ketamine hydrochloride (Ketaset-Rogar/STB Inc., London, Ontario, Canada) (100 mg/ml) and 0.10.2 ml of xylazine hydrochloride (Vet-A-Mix, Shenandoah, Iowa). Specimens were submitted to the Canadian Food Inspection Agency, Ottawa Laboratory Fallowfield, Nepean, Ontario, for rabies diagnosis using a fluorescent antibody test (FAT) (Webster and Casey, 1988). Recaptured raccoons and skunks from a previous TVR program were revaccinated with Imrab® 3 and released.
Vaccinia- Rabies-Glycoprotein (V-RG) baits were aerially distributed (OMNR Twin Otter aircraft) at a density of 75 or 150 baits/km2 and at a flight line spacing of about 1.5 km on Wolfe Island during 2627 June 2000, and during August of subsequent years from 2003 to 2005. Bulk oral vaccine was purchased from Merial Inc., Athens, Georgia, and vaccine-baits (1.8 ml V-RG/bait) were manufactured at Artemis Technologies Inc., Guelph, Ontario.
Raccoon population estimates during 1996 to 2002 (excluding 2000) were determined using mark-recapture data (collected during TVR programs) and a Petersen model (Krebs, 1989). Raccoon population estimates were derived for the period April to June 2000, using the Leslie Regression model (catch/unit effort) for exploited populations (Krebs, 1989). A students t-test (Statistica 6.0 software, StatSoft, Tulsa, Oklahoma, USA) was used to determine if there were differences in raccoon density among cells and among years (Zar, 1974). Percent vaccinated data were normalized using an arcsine transformation, then among-area differences were compared using a t-test (Zar, 1974).
Movements of raccoons on Wolfe Island were determined using the location of recaptured animals (identified by ear tag number) and the UTMC location recorded at the capture/recapture locations. Raccoon capture and recapture locations and distances traveled by each raccoon were calculated and plotted using GIS software (Arcview 3.2). Straight-line distances from points of capture to points of recapture were used in the analysis. Where more than one recapture location was available for an individual animal, the cumulative distance between the points was used to provide an indication of the movement capability of raccoons as well as the potential for infected raccoons to transmit rabies. Data were tested for normality using Levenes test for homogeneity of variance, and were subsequently log-transformed. Movement data were tested for among-year differences using an independent t-test (Zar, 1974). When no differences were found, data were pooled and analysed using a two-factor analysis of variance for differences between sex and age (Zar, 1974). Differences in movement prior to and following the population reduction program were tested using an analysis of variance with treatment and sex being the independent variables.
| RESULTS |
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From 1996 to 1998, an average of 5255 % of the raccoon population on Wolfe Island was vaccinated annually against rabies during TVR operations (Table 1
). Only 39% of the population was vaccinated in 1999 and six cases of raccoon variant rabies were reported on Wolfe Island from December 1999 to January 2000. A population reduction program was implemented during April to June 2000 and the raccoon population was reduced by 58% (Table 2
). At that time, only 21% of the Wolfe Island raccoon population had been vaccinated previously (Table 1
). Those animals were re-vaccinated and released. In addition, during AprilJune 2000, the percent of the raccoons on Wolfe Island that had been vaccinated previously in 1999 in cells with rabies cases was lower (mean = 11.9%, SD = 14.1), although not significantly, than in cells without rabies cases (mean = 25.8%, SD = 14.3; t = 1.77, P = 0.11) (Table 2
). Raccoon population size was also lower, although not significantly, in those cells with rabies (mean = 13.3 SD = 4.6) than in cells without rabies cases (mean = 37.9, SD = 11.0; t = 1.4, P = 0.19) (Table 2
).
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Raccoon density
The raccoon population on Wolfe Island declined dramatically (71% reduction) from 1,067 raccoons (mean density = 8.4/km2 [6.412.4, 95% CI]) during 1999 to 305 raccoons (mean density = 2.4/km2 [0.874.1, 95% CI]) following the rabies outbreak that occurred in December 1999 and January 2000 (Tables 1
, 3
). Raccoon density on Wolfe Island before the rabies outbreak (199699) was significantly higher (mean = 6.7/km2, SD = 1.7) than density in 2000 following the outbreak (mean = 2.4/km2, SD = 1.8; t = 4.1, P < 0.001) (Table 1
). In fact, raccoon density in cells with rabies cases (1.1 raccoon/km2) was on average 78% lower following the rabies outbreak than prior to the outbreak (4.9/km2). In addition, following the raccoon rabies outbreak (in 2000), raccoon density was significantly lower (mean = 1.3/km2, SD = 0.39) in trapping cells that were within 1 km of rabies cases or that had rabies cases, than in cells that were > 5 km and < 22 km from the rabies case locations (mean = 4.6 km2, SD = 1.9; Table 3
; t = 4.78, P < 0.001). It should be noted that although the 2000 population estimate was 305 raccoons, that figure includes the 197 raccoons that were euthanized during the April to June population reduction program. However, if one assumes a 1:1 ratio of males to females, a 95% pregnancy rate, and a mean litter size of four, the postparturition population estimate for 2000 only would have been on average 312 raccoons. Our estimates indicate that raccoon density had doubled after 1 yr following the population reduction program and rabies outbreak (Table 1
).
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Movements were calculated for 579 different raccoons that were recaptured during 1996 to 2002 on Wolfe Island. Raccoons were found to be mobile on Wolfe Island, with significant distances (
24 km) traversed (Fig. 3
, Table 4
). Movements among islands were also noted (three raccoons moved from Wolfe Island to two islands about 1 km offshore) (Fig. 3
). There were no significant differences in distances moved between adult and juvenile raccoons either before (F = 0.00023, P = 0.99) or following (F = 1.51, P = 0.22) the population reduction program. No within-sex differences could be detected for male or female distances moved before and following the population reduction program (F = 2.14, P = 0.88). However, male raccoons traveled, on average, greater distances than female raccoons, both before (F = 26.4, P < 0.0001) and after (F = 10.08, P = 0.007) the population reduction program (Table 4
). Male raccoons moved on average 2.7 km and 2.6 km, respectively, before and after the population reduction program; females moved on average 1.1 km and 1.6 km, respectively, before and after the reduction program.
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| DISCUSSION |
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The raccoon rabies virus variant was first reported in July 1999 on the mainland of Eastern Ontario, about 90 km northeast of Wolfe Island (Wandeler and Salsberg, 1999; Rosatte et al., 2001). The source of the mainland Ontario outbreak was most likely due to rabies-infected raccoons dispersing from the Ogdensburg, New York area, because a major epizootic occurred in that area during 1998 and 1999 (Fig. 1
). This claim is supported by the similar genetic association of raccoon rabies virus samples from Ontario and New York (Nadin-Davis et al., 2006). Raccoon rabies was reported on Wolfe Island in December 1999 and January 2000. The most likely source of infected raccoon(s) on Wolfe Island was from the Cape Vincent, New York area, which had raccoon rabies cases during 1999 and is about 1 km from Wolfe Island across the St. Lawrence River. This is supported by the genetic distinctness of the virus on Wolfe Island from other Ontario samples (Nadin-Davis et al., 2006). There is also regular ferry service to and from Wolfe Island from the US and raccoons ear tagged in Ontario have been captured in New York. The average incubation period for raccoon rabies is about 3040 days (Tinline et al., 2002); thus a rabies-infected raccoon from New York likely arrived on Wolfe Island sometime during the summer or fall of 1999. Only 39% of the Wolfe Island raccoon population had been vaccinated during TVR operations in 1999 (due to insufficient trapping effort), a level generally too low to control a point-source infection (Rosatte et al., 2001). In fact, the two cells that accounted for 83% of the rabies cases had the fewest vaccinated raccoons and the lowest raccoon density, pointing toward an insufficient raccoon population vaccination rate to prevent a rabies outbreak. Population reduction during the spring of 2000 and oral rabies vaccination (ORV) with V-RG baits during the summer likely prevented further spread of the disease. Trap-vaccinate-release was continued in 2001 and 2002 (84% vaccination rate), but was replaced by ORV during 200305. The island has been free of reported cases of raccoon rabies from 19 January 2000 to 8 February 2007.
Interestingly, the population of raccoons on Wolfe Island during the spring of 2000 had declined by 71% of the 1999 estimated population size, but only six cases of raccoon rabies were detected during December 1999 and January 2000. Either the level of vaccination was sufficient to prevent further infections, or more likely, many rabid animals went unnoticed by the public or government field employees because they died in winter dens or in other hidden areas. There were also unconfirmed reports of dead raccoons being found by residents on Wolfe Island that were not submitted for rabies diagnosis due to their deteriorated condition. It is believed that only 5% to 10% of rabid animals in a given area are actually reported (Braunschweig, 1980; MacDonald, 1980; Bacon, 1981). Another possible explanation for the low number of rabies cases is that animals incubating rabies were euthanized during the population reduction program before clinical rabies developed. Alternately, the disease simply might have "burned out" due to the limited number of unvaccinated raccoons in the population, the small area of the island, or isolation of the island from the mainland.
Raccoon density
The seasonal behavior of raccoons should be considered when estimating raccoon density using trapping data. In Ontario, raccoons den during periods of inclement weather (i.e., winter) and are not as easily captured as during the spring, summer, and fall (Rosatte, 2000). However, in this study, trapping occurred during spring to fall when raccoons are active and easily captured. Thus, the timing of trapping should not have been a confounding factor in the analysis.
Raccoon densities on Wolfe island averaged 4.38.4/km2 during 19962002 (excluding 2000). These densities are comparable to those found in other studies on raccoons in rural habitats of Ontario (Rosatte, 2000). The raccoon population on Wolfe Island during 1999 was at its highest density (8.4/km2), doubling in size since 1996. Density estimates on the mainland of Ontario, adjacent to Wolfe Island averaged 6.8 (6.17.7) raccoons/km2 during 1999. High raccoon density probably facilitated rabies spread on Wolfe Island during 1999. Lower raccoon density and population size in cells with rabies cases suggests that the disease might have caused significant raccoon mortality. Overall, the raccoon population on Wolfe Island decreased by 71% between the summer/fall of 1999 and the spring of 2000 (rabies outbreak occurred during December 1999 and January 2000) with a mortality estimate of about 78% for cells with rabies cases. Although some of the mortality could have been due to other causes (distemper, parvovirus, trapping, shooting, road-kills, winter severity), normal annual mortality for raccoons in rabies-free areas of Ontario has been estimated at about 50% (Rosatte, 2000). This suggests that rabies had an additive mortality effect on the population. This is supported by raccoon density on the mainland, which increased from 6.8 (6.17.7) during 1999, to 8.7 (8.49.0) and 8.1 (7.88.4) during 2000 and 2001, respectively. Rabies was not present in that area of the Ontario mainland. Also, rabies mortality might have been higher on Wolfe island had vaccination not occurred. It is also interesting to note the rapid recovery of the raccoon population following the rabies outbreak in December 1999/January 2000, and population reduction program during the spring of 2000. In fact, the population had doubled about a year later (2001), indicating the high resiliency of raccoon populations (Rosatte, 2000).
Raccoon movements
Raccoon movements in this study were constrained by the size and shape of Wolfe Island. However, they are comparable to those reported by Totton et al. (2004) and Rosatte et al. (2005; 2006), but less than those reported by Rosatte (2000) for raccoons in rural habitats of mainland Ontario. Although island size and shape limited raccoon movements, some individuals did move in excess of 20 km (see Fig. 3
), suggesting that rabies would have spread through the high-density raccoon population on the island in the absence of management. Among-island movements of raccoons observed in this study support the supposition that rabies-infected raccoons might have crossed the St. Lawrence River from New York to Ontario. Among-island movements of raccoons also suggests that Wolfe Island could serve as a focus for the geographic spread of rabies.
Management implications
An average vaccination level of 39% from TVR in a wild raccoon population might have been insufficient to prevent an outbreak of raccoon rabies. Although pro-active rabies control programs are advantageous, careful analyses are required to determine if the level of vaccination is sufficient to prevent and contain an outbreak of rabies. On the mainland of eastern Ontario, a rabies vaccination level of 69% to 82% during 200103, apparently prevented point-source cases from spreading in each of those years. In this study, a raccoon density of 8.4/km2 was sufficient to facilitate an outbreak of raccoon rabies. Therefore, one potential option is to maintain raccoon density below this "threshold" through population reduction. Additional multivariate analyses are in order to more comprehensively evaluate the effect of threshold densities on rabies spread. Alternately, TVR or ORV could be integrated into control strategies to maintain an immunity level above 60%. This study demonstrates that control tactics such as TVR, ORV, and population reduction must be ready for immediate implementation to be most effective. When more than a single tactic is integrated into a rabies control strategy, the relative contribution of each towards the success or failure of the program is often confounded.
| ACKNOWLEDGMENTS |
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Received for publication 24 January 2006.
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